Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.294113 3.899198 4.554352 5.312898 6.163339 7.083828 8.151800
2026-01-25 2.327729 3.098885 4.005477 5.135656 6.491927 8.052352 9.967784
2026-02-01 1.685195 2.520965 3.584617 5.003728 6.811691 9.002083 11.817622
2026-02-08 1.234027 2.077180 3.237140 4.886529 7.104342 9.915090 13.671908
2026-02-15 0.924343 1.751081 2.977891 4.828879 7.441258 10.884578 15.642193
2026-02-22 0.762096 1.604099 2.938209 5.052970 8.156599 12.375767 18.356517
2026-03-01 0.592385 1.400227 2.773178 5.063209 8.558366 13.455893 20.571560
2026-03-08 0.416733 1.133308 2.455155 4.789712 8.508258 13.889609 21.912590
2026-03-15 0.297915 0.936386 2.214115 4.597201 8.545898 14.429356 23.404309
2026-03-22 0.255496 0.891344 2.238147 4.843963 9.275136 16.002826 26.416474
2026-03-29 0.231284 0.882189 2.327676 5.209077 10.211354 17.919564 29.987685
2026-04-05 0.202997 0.853091 2.370938 5.491362 11.023962 19.677562 33.380852
2026-04-12 0.160574 0.770569 2.292686 5.549031 11.478922 20.928817 36.105737
2026-04-19 0.114583 0.653514 2.114612 5.394183 11.557430 21.594521 37.977836
2026-04-26 0.081526 0.558639 1.965362 5.274180 11.681533 22.330208 39.974512
2026-05-03 0.057133 0.477843 1.830188 5.162329 11.805066 23.061093 41.977974
2026-05-10 0.040583 0.416313 1.729411 5.108330 12.025574 23.953311 44.254153
2026-05-17 0.034342 0.402869 1.760042 5.345942 12.804624 25.799841 48.082666
2026-05-24 0.024967 0.360493 1.695355 5.358959 13.152846 26.930662 50.801495
2026-05-31 0.014143 0.288028 1.514467 5.074739 12.899096 27.019647 51.844545
2026-06-07 0.007954 0.235227 1.377899 4.874381 12.790694 27.345867 53.270793
2026-06-14 0.006720 0.232683 1.421469 5.132749 13.629578 29.360409 57.514289
2026-06-21 0.006357 0.241371 1.509828 5.514388 14.739459 31.883748 62.648524